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111.
Uncertainty in water quality model predictions is inevitably high due to natural stochasticity, model uncertainty, and parameter uncertainty. An integrated modelling system (modified-BASINS) under uncertainty is described and demonstrated for use in receiving-water quality prediction and watershed management. A Monte Carlo simulation was used to investigate the effect of various uncertainty types on output prediction. Without pollution control measures in the watershed, the concentrations of total nitrogen (T-N) and total phosphorus (T-P) in the Hwaong Reservoir, considering three uncertainty types, would be less than about 4.4 and 0.23 mg L(-1), respectively, in 2012, with 90% confidence. The effects of two watershed management practices, wastewater treatment plants (WWTP) and constructed wetlands (WETLAND), were evaluated. The combined scenario (WWTP + WETLAND) was the most effective at improving reservoir water quality, bringing concentrations of T-N and T-P in the Hwaong Reservoir to less than 3.4 and 0.14 mg L(-1), 24 and 41% improvements, respectively, with 90% confidence. Overall, the Monte Carlo simulation in the integrated modelling system was practical for estimating uncertainty and reliable in water quality prediction. The approach described here may allow decisions to be made based on the probability and level of risk, and its application is recommended. 相似文献
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CM Lucas ED Franke MI Cachay A Tejada ME Cruz RD Kreutzer DC Barker SH McCann DM Watts 《Canadian Metallurgical Quarterly》1998,59(2):312-317
Asymmetric acetylcholinesterase (AChE) is anchored to the basal lamina (BL) of cholinergic synapses via its collagenic tail, yet the complement of matrix receptors involved in its attachment remains unknown. The development of a novel overlay technique has allowed us to identify two Torpedo BL components that bind asymmetric AChE: a polypeptide of approximately 140 kDa and a doublet of 195-215 kDa. These were found to stain metachromatically with Coomassie blue R-250, were solubilized by acetic acid, and were sensitive to collagenase treatment. Upon sequence analysis, the 140 kDa polypeptide yielded a characteristic collagenous motif. Another AChE-binding BL constituent, identified by overlay, corresponded to a heparan sulfate proteoglycan. Lastly, we established that this proteoglycan, but not the collagenous proteins, interacted with at least one heparin binding domain of the collagenic tail of AChE. Our results indicate that at least two BL receptors are likely to exist for asymmetric AChE in Torpedo electric organ. 相似文献
115.
SH Roth 《Canadian Metallurgical Quarterly》1998,25(7):1358-1363
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy of tramadol as adjunctive therapy in patients with musculoskeletal pain attributed to osteoarthritis (OA) who experienced breakthrough pain while taking a nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drug (NSAID). METHODS: This single center, parallel, placebo controlled, 2 phase study was conducted in adults who experienced breakthrough OA pain while undergoing stable NSAID therapy. In a 24 h open label phase, patients took 100 mg of tramadol followed by 50 mg every 6 h (total 250 mg) in addition to their daily NSAID regimen. Supplemental analgesics were prohibited. Patients who met entry criteria and were willing to continue therapy were randomized to a 13 day double blind phase of adjunctive therapy with tramadol (50-100 mg every 4-6 h as needed for pain) or placebo; NSAID therapy was continued. The primary efficacy endpoint was the time to exit from the study because of therapeutic failure (i.e., insufficient pain relief or an inability to perform activities of daily living). RESULTS: The time to exit from the study because of insufficient pain relief tended to be longer in the tramadol group (250 mg/day) compared with the placebo group (p = 0.066). At the end of the double blind phase, pain at rest was significantly less severe in tramadol treated patients (p = 0.046). In addition, severity of pain on motion tended to be less severe in tramadol treated patients (p = 0.059). General severity of current pain and ability to perform activities of daily living were not significantly different with tramadol or placebo. Patients' overall assessment of therapy (p = 0.022) and investigator's rating of global improvement (p = 0.004) were significantly better with tramadol than with placebo. CONCLUSION: Tramadol may have a role as adjunctive treatment for breakthrough pain in patients receiving NSAID therapy for musculoskeletal pain attributed to OA. 相似文献
116.
The development and maturation of the endolymphatic sac (ES) and duct (ED) were studied in the newt Cynops pyrrhogaster. The ES first appears as an oval capsule at the dorsal-medial tip of the otic vesicle at stage 39, about 11 days after oviposition. The ES consists of polymorphous epithelial cells with a minimum of cytoplasm. The intercellular space (IS) between the epithelial cells is narrow and has a smooth surface. At stage 44, the size of the ES increases as many vacuoles in the IS become filled. At stage 46, 18 days after oviposition, the ES elongates markedly and a slit-like lumen is found in the ES. The epithelium contains a few cell organelles which are scattered in the cytoplasm. The vacuoles in the IS are fused, which expands the IS. Two days later (stage 48), floccular material (endolymph) is present in the expanded lumen. The IS dilates and has a wide and irregular appearance. At stage 50, approximately 26 days after oviposition, the ES extends and expands significantly and crystals (otoconia) can now be seen in the widened lumen of the ES. The cytoplasm of the cuboidal epithelial cells contains an abundance of vesicles surrounded by ribosomes and Golgi complexes. Intercellular digitations are formed in the expanded IS. At stage 54, the ES forms a large bellow-like pouch. Numerous otoconia accumulate in the lumen. Free floating cells and cell debris can be seen in the lumen at this stage. The epithelial cells contain numerous cytoplasmic organelles which are evenly distributed in the cytoplasm. Granules are found in the apical and lateral cytoplasm. The IS is loose and displays a labyrinthine appearance. The primitive ED first appears as a connection between the ES and the saccule but no lumen is present inside at stage 39. At stage 46, a narrow lumen is formed in the ED, which corresponds to the formation of the ES lumen. At stage 50, as the ED extends, floccular material is seen in the lumen. At stage 54, the ED bears numerous microvilli on its luminal surface. Otoconia and endolymph are present in the ED. Tight junctions between the epithelial cells are formed at stage 46. A fully developed intercellular junctional complex is produced at stage 54. Based on the development of the ES and ED, the maturation of function of the ES and ED are discussed. 相似文献
117.
The Surveillance Research Program of the American Cancer Society's Department of Epidemiology and Surveillance reports its 32nd annual compilation of cancer incidence, mortality, and survival data for the United States and around the world. 相似文献
118.
BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) over 10 cm in diameter at the time of diagnosis continues to account for a number of patients undergoing hepatic resection. This study evaluated the clinicopathological features and outcome following surgery for large HCC. METHODS: Forty patients with a large HCC (greater than 10 cm) (group 1) resected between 1991 and 1996 were studied retrospectively. They were compared with 245 patients who had smaller HCCs (10 cm or less) (group 2). RESULTS: No patient in group 1 had hepatitis C infection compared with 22.9 per cent in group 2 (P=0.001). Patients in group 1 were significantly younger, had higher alpha-fetoprotein levels (16750 versus 1864 ng/ml; P < 0.001), better liver function, a higher incidence of multiple tumours (27 of 40 versus 42.0 per cent; P=0.003) and venous invasion (35 of 40 versus 52.2 per cent; P < 0.001), and underwent more major resections (37 of 40 versus 26.5 per cent; P < 0.001) than those in group 2. Morbidity and mortality rates and hospital stay were comparable in the two groups. For group 1, the 1-, 3- and 5-year disease-free survival rates were 42, 30 and 28 per cent respectively. Multiple tumours, venous invasion and impaired liver function were factors associated with recurrence. CONCLUSION: Large HCC had specific clinicopathological features. In selected patients, resection is safe and offers the chance of long-term disease-free survival. 相似文献
119.
WJ Cho EK Kim MJ Park SU Choi CO Lee SH Cheon BG Choi BH Chung 《Canadian Metallurgical Quarterly》1998,6(12):2449-2458
In this study a series of 3-arylisoquinoline derivatives were synthesized and cytotoxicity against human melanoma tumor cell evaluated, and a three dimensional quantitative structure-activity relationship was investigated using the comparative molecular field analysis (CoMFA). The results suggested that the electrostatic, steric and hydrophobic factors of 3-arylisoquinolines were strongly correlated with the antitumor activity. Considerable predictive ability (cross-validated r2 as high as 0.721) was obtained through CoMFA. 相似文献
120.
This report describes a simple, rapid, automated microassay for measuring in vitro changes of oxidative burst of phagocytes following challenge with metals for orthopedic devices. The production of reactive oxygen species (ROS) by polymorphonuclear leukocytes (PMNs) was measured using 2',7'-dichlorofluorescin-diacetate (DCFH-DA) as fluorescent probe. DCFH-DA enters the cells and is oxidized by ROS to fluorescent DCF. The DCF generated was directly proportional to ROS produced intracellularly: The fluorescence intensity was read and converted to an index of ROS production by cells. In our experimental system, granulocytes (PMNs) were isolated from normal human blood and seeded in microplates. To verify if metals could influence ROS production, chromium, cobalt, nickel, molybdenum, titanium, aluminum, and vanadium prepared as aqueous extracts in phosphate-buffered saline were tested onto PMNs using phorbolmyristate acetate (PMA) as positive control. Molybdenum, aluminum, and vanadium increased ROS generation by PMNs, while signals not different from unstimulated PMNs were recorded for chromium, cobalt, nickel, and titanium. The DCFH-DA microplate-based assay provides an in vitro tool for the detection of oxygen-reactive species generated by PMNs as a response to metals. 相似文献